Rice-Plus?
The Consultative Group on International Agricultural Research, which comprises a global network of seed banks and ag research facilities, says growing seasons will be shortened by rising temperatures and that new crop varieties are needed to withstand increased heat, salt, flooding, and drought. Louis Verchot of the World Agroforestry Centre in Kenya, a member institute of CGIAR, told the BBC:
We're talking about challenges that have to be dealt with at every level, from ideas about social justice to the technology of food production. We're talking about large-scale human migration and the return to large-scale famines in developing countries, something which we decided 40 or 50 years ago was unacceptable and did something about.Inevitably, say ag experts, this will mean more genetic modifications to existing crops, despite widespread misgivings about transgenic species. One goal of plant geneticists, for example, will be to ramp up the photosynthetic efficiency of rice. Says Verchot:
I can understand the opposition to GM, and I sympathize to a certain extent with it. But in developing countries we're dealing with a crisis situation; and whatever tool is available, we need to apply it to that situation.

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More thoughts on this: One of the consequences of a warming world is expected to be a northward shift of the North American wheat belt (also in the BBC story). Many observers, however, have pointed out that the Canadian Shield is not likely to support enough agriculture to replace American wheat -- too acidic, too rocky, scant topsoil. I'm not sure one way or the other, ... but if nothing else it calls into question the current enthusiasm for growing our fuel (ethanol and biodiesel). After all, if we're suddenly hard-pressed to feed ourselves, then where is all this extra grain for fuel going to come from? Something's got to give, no?
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